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10 questions for business leaders amid the current tone: Morning Brief – Yahoo Finance

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October 17, 2022
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This article first appeared in the Morning Brief. Get the Morning Brief sent directly to your inbox every Monday to Friday by 6:30 a.m. ET. Subscribe
Monday, October 17, 2022.
Today's newsletter is by Brian Sozzi, an editor-at-large and anchor at Yahoo Finance. Follow Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn. Read this and more market news on the go with Yahoo Finance App.
"Damn, this is going be a tough few more months for the economy and markets."
That's what I was thinking as our very Jennifer Schonberger chatted exclusively on Friday with San Francisco Fed president Mary Daly.
It's not that Daly provided anything markets haven't heard elsewhere from Fed officials in recent months. Rather, it was the matter-of-fact tone around potentially moving interest rates to the 4.5% to 5% range and the stickiness of inflation.
I have been struck by the tone of the economy elsewhere, too.
I just spoke at length with Home Depot co-founder Bernie Marcus. Mr. Marcus may be a 93-year-old billionaire, but by no means is he mailing it in.
Marcus remains very active in helping small businesses, is plugged into all things politics (yes, he was a Trump supporter), and keeps a close eye on how Home Depot is performing. Marcus flat-out told me that inflation is going to crush the economy and that regulations are strangling small businesses.
Even adjusting for Marcus' political leanings, it was striking to hear that tone about the economy from a business leader.
And then, I wake up at 4 am on Saturday and find these comments on the economy from Jefferies Chief Economist Aneta Markowska:
"After a ’stronger for longer‘ expansion, we envision a recession that comes later than consensus currently expects but hits the economy much harder than anticipated. Consensus expects a mild recession starting in Q1 and lasting about 3 quarters. We believe it will start later (around Q3) and last longer (5 quarters)."
Jefferies: The recession of 2023 may really suck. pic.twitter.com/i3hVAw6ZGc
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) October 15, 2022
Aneta isn't one of those fear-mongering newsletter hawkers. She is one of the best in the game at what she does. So to hear this super negative tone on the economic outlook surprised me.
All of this brings me to today and the 9th Annual Yahoo Finance All Markets Summit, which airs live all day on yahoofinance.com, YouTube, Roku, our lovely app, and elsewhere. If you aren’t watching, keep an eye on our social media feeds — particularly Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, and TikTok — as the news from our interviews will be distributed everywhere.
Yours truly will be speaking with Target CEO Brian Cornell, Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol, Hilton CEO Chris Nassetta, and Linkedin co-founder Reid Hoffman. The Yahoo Finance team will also have chats with Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, Paramount CEO Bob Bakish, GM CEO Mary Barra, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla, Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel, Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone, and others.
This is a who's who of global business. And given the tone I’ve been hearing about the economy, I’ve got some important questions for these leaders:
1) Is inflation peaking?
2) Is the economy already in a recession?
3) What parts of your business are slowing down and why?
4) Have you frozen hiring?
5) Are you planning layoffs before year end?
6) What are the three biggest projects you working on for 2023 and why?
7) Do you trust the Federal Reserve to get it right?
8) Valuations have been hammered on businesses. Are you a buyer? When?
9) How bad will Europe's economy get in 2023?
10) Biggest economic takeaway you heard from a peer in the past month?
Enjoy the festival of finance that the YF team has worked to prepare for you!
Earnings
Bank of America (BAC), BNY Mellon (BK), Charles Schwab (SCHW)
Why Goldman Sachs is staying super bullish on the Elon Musk-led Tesla
What are safe investments during volatile markets? Experts weigh in
LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman: Tech has learned big lessons in 2022
Click here for the latest stock market news and in-depth analysis, including events that move stocks
Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance
Download the Yahoo Finance app for Apple or Android
Follow Yahoo Finance on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Flipboard, LinkedIn, and YouTube
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Shares of the semiconductor company Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) were jumping this morning on seemingly no company-specific news. Instead, the tech stock is likely moving higher today as investors regained some optimism in the market today, perhaps after two banks beat earnings expectations. As a result, the S&P 500 was up 2.7%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was up 3.3%, and Nvidia's shares had gained 4.3% as of 10:48 a.m. ET.
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One of the biggest myths surrounding Social Security is that everyone is entitled to a monthly benefit once they reach a certain age. In reality, Social Security benefits have to be earned. Granted, there are ways to get around that, such as claiming a Social Security spousal benefit if you don't qualify for a benefit of your own.
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Planemakers will trot out their latest models and efforts to reduce emissions at the world's largest corporate jet show this week, as a boom in private travel faces pressure over climate, supply chain woes and economic uncertainty. The National Business Aviation Association (NBAA) show starts on Tuesday in Orlando in the shadow of a United Nations aviation goal set this month to achieve net zero emissions by 2050. It will also test the strength of business jet demand, which surged during COVID-19 and swelled order backlogs, but could now face a softer economy.
TOKYO (Reuters) -Japanese authorities kept up their verbal warnings to the market on Monday of a firm response to any overly rapid yen declines, after a 32-year low for the yen last week and meetings of global financial leaders that acknowledged currency volatility. Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda told reporters that "each country would respond appropriately" on currencies, following a Group of Seven (G7) statement last week that indicated members would closely monitor recent volatility. The statement stopped short, however, of giving signs of joint intervention.
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Stocks jumped out to a strong start to the new week as investors took some solace from measures taken internationally to calm bond markets in Europe and elsewhere. As of 10 a.m. ET Monday, the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) was leading the way higher, climbing by more than 3%. Adding to the already considerable volatility that investors have become accustomed to lately, third-quarter earnings season is ramping up, and some much-watched companies are on tap to reveal their latest financial results this week.

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