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Boise State vs. UTEP odds, prediction, spread: 2022 Week 4 college football picks by model on 51-43 run – CBS Sports

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October 17, 2022
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                                                         Play Now                                                         <br>                                                                                                                  <a href="/fantasy/games/football/office-pool-manager/" class="">Football Pick'em</a>                                                      <br>                                                             Play Now                                                         <br>                                                                                                                  <a href="https://picks.cbssports.com/college-football/pickem" class="">College Football Pick'em</a>                                                      <br>                                                                                                          <a href="/podcasts/fantasy-football-today-podcast/" class="">Week 6 Recap</a>                                              <br>                                                                                                          <a href="/podcasts/nothing-personal-with-david-samson/" class="">Talking the business of sports</a>                                              <br>The <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/BOISE/boise-state-broncos/">Boise State Broncos</a> attempt to record their third consecutive victory when they visit the <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/UTEP/utep-miners/">UTEP Miners</a> on Friday. Boise State (2-1) dropped its season opener at <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/OREGST/oregon-state-beavers/">Oregon State</a> but went on to record a 31-14 triumph at <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/NMEX/new-mexico-lobos/">New Mexico</a> and defeat <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/TNMART/ut-martin-skyhawks/">UT Martin</a> 30-7 at home last Saturday. The Broncos are 6-0 all-time against the Miners, who have been outscored 290-108 in the series. UTEP (1-3) is coming off a 27-10 road loss against the Lobos. The game will be broadcast live on CBS Sports Network.<br>Kickoff at the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Tex. is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Broncos are 15.5-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. UTEP odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 45.5. Before making any UTEP vs. Boise State picks, <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/boise-state-vs-utep-odds-line-advanced-college-football-computer-model-reveals-picks-for-fridays-showdown/#ttag=09212022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_UTEPBoiseStateCFB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model</a>.<br>The model simulates every FBS <a href="/college-football/" data-is-autolink="true">college football</a> game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/college-football/picks/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">college football picks</a> against the spread. It enters Week 4 of the 2022 college football season on a 51-43 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.<br>Now, the model has set its sights on <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/college-football/game-forecast/NCAAF_20220923_BOISE@UTEP/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Boise State vs. UTEP</a> and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/boise-state-vs-utep-odds-line-advanced-college-football-computer-model-reveals-picks-for-fridays-showdown/#ttag=09212022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_UTEPBoiseStateCFB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks</a>. Here are the <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/college-football/odds/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">college football odds</a> and betting lines for UTEP vs. Boise State: <br>The Broncos crushed the Miners 54-13 at home last season, with <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/3123831/hank-bachmeier/">Hank Bachmeier</a> throwing for 340 yards and a pair of touchdowns. One of the senior quarterback's scoring passes was a 61-yarder to wide receiver <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/2969024/stefan-cobbs/">Stefan Cobbs</a>, who made his first TD catch of 2022 on Saturday. Bachmeier completed passes to nine different players against UT Martin, with wideout <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/3175852/latrell-caples/">Latrell Caples</a> and running back <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/3131661/george-holani/">George Holani</a> hauling in four apiece.<br>Holani was the offensive star for Boise State in the victory, making a touchdown catch while also running for 110 yards and a TD. It was the eighth career 100-yard rushing performance by the redshirt junior, who returned five punts for 69 yards to finish with 226 all-purpose yards. The Broncos' defense has been strong against the run of late, limiting New Mexico and UT Martin to a combined total of 51 rushing yards after giving up 178 against Oregon State in their season opener.<br>The Miners struggled against the run in Saturday's setback, allowing the Lobos to gain 188 yards on the ground, but defended the pass well. UTEP limited New Mexico to 111 yards through the air and did not allow a passing touchdown. It also got to Lobos quarterback <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/2963174/miles-kendrick/">Miles Kendrick</a> twice, with <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/2965439/cal-wallerstedt/">Cal Wallerstedt</a> registering both sacks.<br>The redshirt junior linebacker leads the Miners with three sacks on the season, which also are the first three of his career. Wallerstedt is first in Conference USA with 5.5 tackles for loss, which place him 13th in the nation. UTEP has scored more than 13 points just once in four games despite showing an ability to move the ball as it is tied for 12th in the country with 82 first downs.<br>SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total. In fact, it says Bachmeier comes up with a big performance, throwing for more than 270 yards and two touchdowns. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/boise-state-vs-utep-odds-line-advanced-college-football-computer-model-reveals-picks-for-fridays-showdown/#ttag=09212022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_UTEPBoiseStateCFB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine</a>.<br><strong>So who wins Boise State vs. UTEP? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/boise-state-vs-utep-odds-line-advanced-college-football-computer-model-reveals-picks-for-fridays-showdown/#ttag=09212022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_UTEPBoiseStateCFB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UTEP vs. Boise State spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up more than $3,300 on its top-rated college football spread picks</a>, and find out.</strong><br>© 2004-2022 CBS Interactive. All Rights Reserved.<br>CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc.<br>Images by Getty Images and US Presswire<br><br><a href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/boise-state-vs-utep-odds-prediction-spread-2022-week-4-college-football-picks-by-model-on-51-43-run/">source</a>

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