Play Now <br> <a href="/fantasy/games/football/office-pool-manager/" class="">Football Pick'em</a> <br> Play Now <br> <a href="https://picks.cbssports.com/college-football/pickem" class="">College Football Pick'em</a> <br> <a href="/podcasts/fantasy-football-today-podcast/" class="">Week 6 Recap</a> <br> <a href="/podcasts/nothing-personal-with-david-samson/" class="">Talking the business of sports</a> <br>The <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/SMU/smu-mustangs/">SMU Mustangs</a> will look to get back on track when they host the <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/NAVY/navy-midshipmen/">Navy Midshipmen</a> in an American Athletic Conference matchup on Friday. The Mustangs (2-3, 0-1), who placed sixth in the conference at 4-4 and were 8-4 overall a year ago, are hoping to win at least eight games this season for the third time in four years. The Midshipmen (2-3, 2-1) can equal their conference win total from last season when they finished 3-5 in the AAC and 4-8 overall. Navy is 3-4 on the road since the start of 2021, while SMU is 6-2 at home during that same stretch.<br>Kickoff from Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Navy's defense is allowing 348.6 total yards per game this season, while SMU is giving up 416.8. The Mustangs are favored by 12.5 points in the latest Navy vs. SMU odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 58. Before making any SMU vs. Navy picks, be sure to <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/navy-vs-smu-prediction-odds-line-advanced-college-football-model-reveals-picks-for-friday-nights-aac-matchup/#ttag=10132022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_smunavyCFBmodel" target="_blank" rel="noopener">check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model</a>.<br>The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS <a href="/college-football/" data-is-autolink="true">college football</a> game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/college-football/picks/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">college football picks</a> against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.<br>Now, the model has set its sights on <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/college-football/game-forecast/NCAAF_20221014_NAVY@SMU/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SMU vs. Navy</a> and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/navy-vs-smu-prediction-odds-line-advanced-college-football-model-reveals-picks-for-friday-nights-aac-matchup/#ttag=10132022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_smunavyCFBmodel" target="_blank" rel="noopener">visit SportsLine now to see its picks</a>. Here are the <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/college-football/odds/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">college football odds</a> and betting lines for Navy vs. SMU:<br>Senior quarterback <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/2965998/tanner-mordecai/">Tanner Mordecai</a> is one of the most prolific passers in the country this season. He has thrown for 1,680 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions on 125 of 211 passing (59.2%). The Mustangs are fourth in the country in passing offense (355 yards per game) and ninth in total offense (500.2 yards). Mordecai is ranked fourth nationally with 336 passing yards per game, 13th in completions per game with 25 and seventh in total offense (338.4).<br>Mordecai's favorite target is <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/3124978/rashee-rice/">Rashee Rice</a>, who has 46 receptions for 687 yards (14.9 average) and four touchdowns. The senior wide receiver is second nationally in receiving yards per game (137.4), and catches per game (9.2). Rice also has the 20th-most all-purpose yardage with 137.4. Against Central Florida on Oct. 5, he had a solid performance with 12 receptions for 122 yards.<br>The Midshipmen have a powerful rushing attack and have six players who have at least 117 rushing yards or more on the season. Leading the charge is sophomore fullback <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/26713505/daba-fofana/">Daba Fofana</a>, who has rushed 67 times for 275 yards (4.1 average) and three touchdowns. Sophomore wide receiver <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/26725879/maquel-haywood/">Maquel Haywood</a> has carried 41 times for 203 yards (5.0 average), including a long of 17 yards. Junior quarterback <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/3167731/tai-lavatai/">Tai Lavatai</a> leads the team with 69 rushing attempts for 147 yards (2.1 average) and three scores. He has also passed for two other TDs.<br>Defensively, Navy is led by senior linebacker <a class="Annotation-link" href="/college-football/players/3126068/john-marshall/">John Marshall</a>. <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/MRSHL/marshall-thundering-herd/">Marshall</a> tops the team with 39 tackles, including 16 solo, with two sacks for 13 yards. He also has one pass breakup and one forced fumble. In the loss to <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/MEMP/memphis-tigers/">Memphis</a>, he racked up 15 tackles, including six solo. He had six tackles and a forced fumble in the 13-10 loss at <a class="Annotation-link" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/teams/AF/air-force-falcons/">Air Force</a> on Oct. 1.<br>SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams combine for 60 points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in more than 50% of simulations. <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/navy-vs-smu-prediction-odds-line-advanced-college-football-model-reveals-picks-for-friday-nights-aac-matchup/#ttag=10132022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_smunavyCFBmodel" target="_blank" rel="noopener">You can only get the pick at SportsLine</a>.<br><strong>So who will win SMU vs. Navy? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? <a href="https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/navy-vs-smu-prediction-odds-line-advanced-college-football-model-reveals-picks-for-friday-nights-aac-matchup/#ttag=10132022_agg_cbssports_picks_football_ncaa_model_smunavyCFBmodel" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks</a>, and find out.</strong><br>© 2004-2022 CBS Interactive. All Rights Reserved.<br>CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc.<br>Images by Getty Images and US Presswire<br><br><a href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/smu-vs-navy-prediction-odds-line-2022-week-7-college-football-picks-best-bets-from-proven-model/">source</a>
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