Michigan State quarterback Noah Kim hands off to running back Elijah Collins (24) during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Ohio State , Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in East Lansing, Mich. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)AP
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Both the Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan State Spartans will be looking to bounce back from disappointing losses last week. The Badgers are sitting at 3-3, which is not where they expected to be after their 8-4 record last season. The Spartans have a 2-4 record after losing four straight games following a promising 2-0 start to the season. With neither team in prime form, an interesting matchup is expected in East Lansing on Saturday.
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The Badgers started the season with a couple of big wins over Illinois State and New Mexico State, but sandwiched in between was a 17-14 home loss to Washington State. Wisconsin had no answers for a powerhouse Ohio State team, losing 52-21 in Week 4 and then fell to Illinois 34-10 the following week.
The Spartans opened with home wins over Western Michigan and Akron, but the team is now on a skid of four straight losses after defeats to Washington, Minnesota, Maryland and Ohio State. Last week’s loss to the Buckeyes was by 49-20, which was similar to the Badgers’ loss.
With that in mind, let’s break down if Wisconsin should be -7.5 favorites.
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Michigan State is still looking for their first conference victory of the season after the loss to Ohio State dropped them to 0-3. The team is having to cope with a lot of injury problems, but they’ve shown toughness and have not been guilty of making sloppy errors either. That provides hope that their situation can be turned around.
The Badgers’ disappointing start seems more difficult to fix, as they have not been able to handle any team that has even a decent offense. Wisconsin allowed at least 34 points to Illinois State, Ohio State and Illinois.
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With both teams having problems to work through, this contest could turn into a close battle that may even go down to the wire. The Badgers have covered the spread in just three of their last nine games, including a 1-3 record on the road in that stretch.
Meanwhile, the Spartans have a solid 6-2-2 record against the spread in its last 10 home games. Even if they don’t pull off the outright upset, Wisconsin hasn’t done enough to prove they should be such heavy favorites. Therefore, our best bet is for Michigan State to keep this game within a touchdown.
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Michigan State is listed as +7.5-point underdogs, while the Badgers are -7.5 favorites. Both point spreads have -107 odds at PointsBet Sportsbook, so a $107 bet on the Spartans +7.5 would return $100 worth of winnings if they lose by seven or fewer points, or win the game outright.
Similarly, a $107 wager on Wisconsin -7.5 profits $100 if they win by eight or more points. The total (over/under) for the game is 49.5, and both sides of the total again have -107 odds at PointsBet Sportsbook.
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